Sunday, January 26, 2020

Voter Depression

Hillary Clinton has a talent for losing votes.

Here is a comparison of her votes in Wisconsin in 2016 versus Barack Obama’s  in 2012:


               2012           2016      Difference    % Diff
DEM        1,620,985        1,382,947        (238,038) -14.7%
GOP        1,407,964        1,406,998               (966) -0.1%
Other             39,483           182,672         143,189 362.7%
Total        3,070,444        2,974,633         (95,811) -3.1%

In Michigan, 87,810 voters left the choice of President blank in 2016 compared with 49,840 in 2012. Across the country, 1.7 million voters refrained from marking a Presidential choice on their ballots in 2016 versus 754,000 in 2012.  Only 3 states had fewer undervotes in 2016 than in 2012.

These were critical but not isolated cases.  The table below compares Hillary Clinton's votes by state in 2016 to Barack Obama's in 2012.  Blue cells indicate the Democrat won the state; Red indicate a Republican win.  The vote percentage difference is the difference in the percentage by which the candidate won or lost the popular vote in the state.  (Source: Wikipedia)

Democratic State Votes 2016 versus 2012

Barack Obama
2012
Hillary Clinton
2016
Vote Difference
Vote Pcnt Diff
#
%
#
%
Alabama
795,696
38.36%
729,547
34.36%
(66,149)
(4.0%)
Alaska
122,640
40.81%
116,454
36.55%
(6,186)
(4.3%)
Arizona
1,025,232
44.59%
1,161,167
45.13%
135,935
0.5%
Arkansas
394,409
36.88%
380,494
33.65%
(13,915)
(3.2%)
California
7,854,285
60.24%
8,753,788
61.73%
899,503
1.5%
Colorado
1,323,101
51.49%
1,338,870
48.16%
15,769
(3.3%)
Connecticut
905,083
58.06%
897,572
54.57%
(7,511)
(3.5%)
Delaware
242,584
58.61%
235,603
53.09%
(6,981)
(5.5%)
District of Columbia
267,070
90.91%
282,830
90.48%
15,760
(0.4%)
Florida
4,237,756
50.01%
4,504,975
47.82%
267,219
(2.2%)
Georgia
1,773,827
45.48%
1,877,963
45.64%
104,136
0.2%
Hawaii
306,658
70.55%
266,891
62.22%
(39,767)
(8.3%)
Idaho
212,787
32.62%
189,765
27.49%
(23,022)
(5.1%)
Illinois
3,019,512
57.60%
3,090,729
55.83%
71,217
(1.8%)
Indiana
1,152,887
43.93%
1,033,126
37.91%
(119,761)
(6.0%)
Iowa
822,544
51.99%
653,669
41.74%
(168,875)
(10.3%)
Kansas
440,726
37.99%
427,005
36.05%
(13,721)
(1.9%)
Kentucky
679,370
37.80%
628,854
32.68%
(50,516)
(5.1%)
Louisiana
809,141
40.58%
780,154
38.45%
(28,987)
(2.1%)
Maine (at-lg)
401,306
56.27%
357,735
47.83%
(43,571)
(8.4%)
Maine, 1st

212,774
53.96%

Maine, 2nd
144,817
40.98%
Maryland
1,677,844
61.97%
1,677,928
60.33%
84
(1.6%)
Massachusetts
1,921,290
60.65%
1,995,196
60.01%
73,906
(0.6%)
Michigan
2,564,569
54.21%
2,268,839
47.27%
(295,730)
(6.9%)
Minnesota
1,546,167
52.65%
1,367,716
46.44%
(178,451)
(6.2%)
Mississippi
562,949
43.79%
485,131
40.11%
(77,818)
(3.7%)
Missouri
562,949
43.79%
1,071,068
38.14%
508,119
(5.7%)
Montana
201,839
41.70%
177,709
35.75%
(24,130)
(6.0%)
Nebraska 
302,081
38.03%
284,494
33.70%
(17,587)
(4.3%)
Nebraska, 1st

100,126
35.46%

Nebraska, 2nd
131,030
44.92%
Nebraska, 3rd
53,290
19.73%
Nevada
531,373
52.36%
539,260
47.50%
7,887
(4.9%)
New Hampshire
369,561
51.98%
348,526
46.98%
(21,035)
(5.0%)
New Jersey
2,125,101
58.38%
2,148,278
54.99%
23,177
(3.4%)
New Mexico
415,335
52.99%
385,234
48.26%
(30,101)
(4.7%)
New York
4,485,741
63.35%
4,556,124
59.01%
70,383
(4.3%)
North Carolina
2,178,391
48.35%
2,189,316
46.17%
10,925
(2.2%)
North Dakota
124,827
38.69%
93,758
27.23%
(31,069)
(11.5%)
Ohio
2,827,709
50.67%
2,394,164
43.56%
(433,545)
(7.1%)
Oklahoma
443,547
33.23%
420,375
28.93%
(23,172)
(4.3%)
Oregon
970,488
54.24%
1,002,106
50.07%
31,618
(4.2%)
Pennsylvania
2,990,274
51.97%
2,926,441
47.46%
(63,833)
(4.5%)
Rhode Island
279,677
62.70%
252,525
54.41%
(27,152)
(8.3%)
South Carolina
865,941
44.09%
855,373
40.67%
(10,568)
(3.4%)
South Dakota
145,039
39.87%
117,458
31.74%
(27,581)
(8.1%)
Tennessee
960,709
39.08%
870,695
34.72%
(90,014)
(4.4%)
Texas
3,308,124
41.38%
3,877,868
43.24%
569,744
1.9%
Utah
251,813
24.75%
310,676
27.46%
58,863
2.7%
Vermont
199,239
66.57%
178,573
56.68%
(20,666)
(9.9%)
Virginia
1,971,820
51.16%
1,981,473
49.73%
9,653
(1.4%)
Washington
1,755,396
56.16%
1,742,718
52.54%
(12,678)
(3.6%)
West Virginia
238,269
35.54%
188,794
26.43%
(49,475)
(9.1%)
Wisconsin
1,620,985
52.83%
1,382,536
46.45%
(238,449)
(6.4%)
Wyoming
69,286
27.82%
55,973
21.63%
(13,313)
(6.2%)
US Total
65,915,795
51.06%
65,853,514
48.18%
(62,281)
(2.9%)

Hillary Clinton would seem to be an expert on being disliked, however, I'm not sure that expertise extends beyond her own ability to numb voter passions.  


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